Asset manager VanEck has made several predictions for the cryptocurrency market in 2024, foreseeing a new all-time high for Bitcoin later in the year.
These predictions come in the context of a looming U.S. recession and regulatory changes following the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
VanEck, alongside other firms like BlackRock and Fidelity, is seeking approval for spot Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The firm is confident that the first spot Bitcoin ETFs will receive approval in the first quarter of 2024.
Simultaneously, VanEck paints a gloomy picture for the U.S. economy, anticipating that a recession will finally occur, coinciding with the launch of these ETFs.
They predict that over $2.4 billion could flow into these ETFs during Q1 2024, bolstering Bitcoin’s price.
VanEck also downplays concerns about the Bitcoin halving, expecting minimal market disruption but a subsequent price increase.
The real catalyst for a new all-time high for Bitcoin, according to VanEck, may be political events and regulatory changes triggered by the U.S. presidential election scheduled for November 5, 2024.
VanEck does not anticipate Ether overtaking Bitcoin in 2024, though it expects Ether to outperform major tech stocks.
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They believe that Bitcoin will lead the market rally initially, with smaller tokens benefiting after the halving.
VanEck acknowledges that Ethereum’s market share may face challenges from other smart contract platforms like Solana, which has a more certain scalability roadmap.
Regarding Ethereum, VanEck predicts that Ethereum layer-2 networks will dominate the Ethereum Virtual Machine-compatible total value locked and trading volume after the implementation of the EIP-4844 scaling update.
In a separate report, venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) suggests that crypto could play a crucial role in decentralizing artificial intelligence (AI).
It argues that decentralized networks can counterbalance the centralized AI models currently controlled by tech giants, making it possible for anyone to contribute computing power and data to train large language models.
VanEck also anticipates a shift in the centralized exchange landscape, with Binance potentially losing its top position in trading volume to competitors like Coinbase, OKX, Bybit, and Bitget.
Regulatory pressures have weighed on Binance, culminating in its former CEO stepping down amid a substantial settlement with the U.S. Justice Department.
Additionally, VanEck expects the market capitalization of stablecoins to reach $200 billion, foresees a resurgence of Circle’s USD Coin, and predicts that decentralized exchanges will achieve record spot trading volumes.
They also anticipate Know Your Customer (KYC)-compliant decentralized finance platforms surpassing non-KYC ones in terms of user base and fees, driven by apps like Ethereum Attestation Service and Uniswap Hooks.
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