The U.S. economy’s robust labor market, highlighted by the latest nonfarm payrolls report, could exert downward pressure on Bitcoin prices.
The report, which excludes agricultural employment, showed that job creation in May surpassed expectations, potentially signaling a stronger economic outlook.
This development might lead investors to anticipate tighter monetary policy, as they shift focus towards more traditional assets, potentially impacting Bitcoin negatively.
According to Bitfinex analysts, “If the NFP exceeds expectations significantly, it could signal a stronger economy, possibly leading to fears of tightening monetary policy.
This might put downward pressure on Bitcoin as investors rebalance toward traditional assets.”
Indeed, the nonfarm payrolls for May revealed the addition of 272,000 jobs, well above the forecasted 182,000.
This could reduce the appeal of riskier assets like Bitcoin, which might struggle to maintain its value, possibly dropping below the $70,000 mark by the week’s close.
In Europe, economic maneuvers also painted a complex financial landscape.
The European Central Bank (ECB) reduced its benchmark lending rate from 4% to 3.75%, its first cut in five years, just ahead of the EU-wide elections.
Bitfinex analysts suggested that this rate cut could weaken the euro, thereby boosting the attractiveness of Bitcoin and other alternative assets.
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They noted, “The rate cut could weaken the euro, potentially leading to higher demand for alternative assets like Bitcoin.
“The increased liquidity from this monetary easing could also support risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.”
The price movements of Bitcoin were relatively flat, though it experienced a slight drop by 0.8% around midday UTC, trading at $71,186, according to CoinMarketCap.
However, positive trends in institutional inflows, particularly from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, might yet bolster Bitcoin’s market position.
These ETFs have already seen significant inflows, amassing over $1.54 billion this week alone, indicating a strong investor confidence that could push Bitcoin’s price above the $70,000 threshold.
On June 5, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs reported inflows of $488.1 million, and an even more impressive $886.6 million on June 4, marking some of the highest single-day gains this year.
As of mid-February, Bitcoin ETFs represented about 75% of new investments into the cryptocurrency as it breached the $50,000 level, underscoring the significant impact of institutional investment on Bitcoin’s market dynamics.
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