Bitcoin extended its decline following the Wall Street opening on September 1, as losses from the monthly close persisted.
Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView data tracked the dwindling BTC price performance, which hit its lowest point since August 22.
The downward momentum was fueled by Bitcoin bears capitalizing on the August monthly close, causing significant volatility in both the Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets throughout the night.
Overall, BTC/USD saw an 11.2% decline in August, leaving little room for optimism about a potential rebound in September, as noted by market experts.
Prominent trader and analyst Rekt Capital shared insights on Bitcoin’s potential future actions in his recent YouTube update.
He highlighted that BTC price was unable to sustain gains attributed to the “Grayscale hype,” with substantial selling pressure and a drop in the weekly relative strength index (RSI) values toward a crucial upward trendline.
Several exponential moving averages (EMAs), previously acting as support, had now switched roles to become resistance.
The long-standing trendline that had held for over a year was at risk, and a breach of the RSI trendline could result in further downward movement, according to Rekt Capital.
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He identified potential price targets for a new decline, ranging on the path toward $23,000, a favored level among traders.
Referring to historical norms and insights from on-chain monitoring resource CoinGlass, he estimated losses of approximately 7% to 13% for September.
In the event of a relief rally, Rekt Capital suggested that the rally might peak at around $27,200, a level that had previously served as a support zone.
However, Bitcoin’s performance was hindered by the U.S. Dollar Index’s (DXY) second consecutive day of robust strength.
The DXY, which stood above 104 at the time of writing, had recovered from recent losses and was expected to continue its upward trajectory that began in mid-July.
The DXY’s strength had previously acted as resistance during a retest in August, following a local high in June.
Market participants were divided over the current influence of the DXY’s strength in suppressing BTC price, as the inverse correlation between the two had been repeatedly challenged over the past year.
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The crypto community has united in solidarity with the Maui community, rallying behind a relief fund endorsed by renowned celebrities Oprah Winfrey and Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson, which now accepts contributions in various cryptocurrencies.
During the initial days of August in 2023, the serene Hawaiian island of Maui was engulfed in destructive wildfires, inflicting considerable damage to both properties and lives as a staggering 2,500 acres were consumed by the blaze.
In response, The Rock and Oprah jointly inaugurated the People’s Fund of Maui, a charitable initiative designed to extend direct financial assistance to those grappling with the aftermath of the disaster.
In a tweet, The Rock unequivocally affirmed that the entirety of the donations would be channeled towards the victims.
He elaborated, “Each adult resident residing within the impacted regions of Lahaina and Kula, displaced by the ferocious wildfires, will be eligible to receive $1200 per month.
This endeavor aims to facilitate their journey towards recovery.”
The People’s Fund of Maui demonstrates its versatility by welcoming donations not only in traditional fiat currencies but also in an array of cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin, Ether, and Dogecoin are just a few examples of the digital alternatives that can be contributed to the fund.
Beyond merely global fiat donations, the fund’s scope encompasses these digital assets, creating a diverse range of avenues for individuals to provide their support.
Oprah elucidated that the rationale behind placing the donations directly in the hands of the survivors is to empower them to chart their own course towards normalization.
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She expounded, “Empowering individuals to exercise their autonomy, enabling them to determine their requirements and those of their families, constitutes the cornerstone of our objective.”
Running parallel to the commendable efforts initiated by these A-list celebrities, multiple relief initiatives are diligently endeavoring to ameliorate the predicament faced by the wildfire victims.
The All Hands and Hearts disaster relief organization has been at the forefront of collecting both cryptocurrency and fiat donations to assist the local denizens of Maui as they grapple with the aftermath of the devastating fires.
Olga Ruggiero, Chief of Organizational Integration and Events at All Hands and Hearts, emphasized the significance of cryptocurrency contributions, asserting that they are a vital means of offering essential support in the aftermath of such catastrophic events.
She noted, “Cryptocurrency, much like any other form of donation, plays a pivotal role in rendering indispensable aid after the ravages of wildfires.
The crypto industry consistently rallies alongside communities across the globe that find themselves in distress.”
The unity displayed by the crypto community in partnership with influential personalities like Oprah Winfrey and Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson serves as a testament to the potential of leveraging cryptocurrencies to extend a helping hand to communities in dire need.
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Bitwise, the asset management firm, has taken an unexpected step by withdrawing its application for a Bitcoin and Ether Market Cap Weight Strategy exchange-traded fund (ETF) from the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
Initially filed on August 3, the move came as a surprise given the recent positive market sentiment following Grayscale’s success with the SEC.
The withdrawal statement contained a cautious tone, stating that while the fund aimed to achieve capital appreciation, there were no guarantees of meeting this investment objective.
Matt Hougan, Bitwise’s chief investment officer, had recently voiced support for SEC approval of all ETFs in a Bloomberg interview.
The ETF in question was designed to invest in either Bitcoin or Ether futures contracts, selected based on their respective market capitalizations.
In conjunction with ProShares, Bitwise had also planned to launch another ETF around the same time.
Bitwise clarified in the withdrawal statement that the Trust had abandoned its plans to pursue the effectiveness of the Fund.
The Trust did not sell or intend to sell any Fund securities as part of the process.
This development aligns with the SEC’s continued delay in deciding on various Bitcoin ETF applications, including those from WisdomTree, Invesco Galaxy, Valkyrie, VanEck, BlackRock, Bitwise, and Fidelity.
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The SEC’s recent filing on August 31 disclosed an extended review timeline for several spot Bitcoin ETF applications.
WisdomTree, VanEck, Invesco Galaxy, Bitwise, Valkyrie, Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust, and BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF face a longer evaluation period.
Upcoming deadlines for the SEC are set for mid-October, but potential delays could push them to the third batch of deadlines in January or to final decisions in the subsequent months.
Bitwise had previously been at the forefront of asset management firms seeking Bitcoin ETF products.
Its initial application in January 2019 aimed to create a BTC-backed ETF tracking the Bitwise Bitcoin Total Return Index, derived from BTC transaction values across various exchanges.
The firm’s proposal sought to provide a reliable representation of the broader cryptocurrency market, with data sourced from multiple cryptocurrency exchanges.
Additionally, third-party custodians were to be responsible for physically holding Bitcoin.
Notably, this is not Bitwise’s first ETF withdrawal. Earlier this year, the company pulled back an application for an Ethereum Strategy ETF.
The ETF had been designed to invest in both front-time and back-time Ethereum futures, but the withdrawal occurred only a week after the initial application was submitted.
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The Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index (CBECI), renowned for assessing Bitcoin’s energy usage, has undergone its inaugural methodology update since its inception in 2019.
Launched in July 2019, CBECI aimed to furnish data-backed insights into Bitcoin mining’s energy intensity and environmental consequences.
In an exclusive conversation with Cointelegraph, lead researcher Alexander Neumueller outlined the index’s role in estimating Bitcoin network electricity consumption.
Neumueller emphasized its role in presenting comprehensible data to the general public.
The revamped methodology accentuates recent trends in Bitcoin mining hardware and hash rates. Researchers scrutinized whether CBECI accurately depicted these dynamics.
They concentrated on unraveling the causes behind significant hash rate growth in recent years, attributed to more powerful contemporary mining equipment superseding older counterparts.
The absence of detailed hardware data posed a challenge, limiting CBECI’s precision in assessing hardware variety and prevalence.
To surmount this, researchers devised a simulation that approximates daily hardware distribution, utilizing performance and power data from actual hardware.
The prior methodology presumed that all profitable hardware models released in the last five years contributed equally to the network hash rate.
This inadvertently led to an overrepresentation of aging hardware during lucrative mining periods.
The team recognized the overrepresentation of older equipment and the underrepresentation of newer models.
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This realization spurred the methodology’s alteration.
Neumueller’s team then cross-referenced hash rate increments with US import data on recent Bitcoin mining hardware.
Public sales data from mining hardware manufacturer Canaan supplemented this analysis.
The CBECI encompassed diverse data points and visualizations, encompassing Bitcoin network power demand, a mining map depicting hash rate distribution, and a greenhouse gas emissions index.
These indexes yield three distinct estimates for each sector, providing a range for these metrics.
The broader discussion encompassed varying viewpoints on Bitcoin’s environmental impact.
Critics alleged Bitcoin undermined ecological progress, while proponents contended that the mining industry could aid environmental efforts.
Neumueller highlighted the intricate nature of the field and the dearth of information, enabling selective data interpretation and biases.
In sum, CBECI’s revamped methodology aligns with evolving Bitcoin mining hardware trends, rectifying previous discrepancies.
The index’s comprehensive insights and visuals offer a multifaceted perspective on Bitcoin’s energy consumption and emissions impact.
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Bitcoin is maintaining its recent gains, as traders remain optimistic about the bullish trajectory of its price. Despite briefly retreating from the highs above $28,000, the cryptocurrency has not experienced a complete retrace of its recent upward move.
Encouragingly, Bitcoin’s price action on lower timeframes is being supported by a crucial moving average, effectively safeguarding the $27,000 mark.
This trend is highlighted by data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.
Of particular significance is the resilience displayed by BTC/USD in adhering to a long-term trend line that was previously lost as support in August.
This trend line corresponds to the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), positioned at $27,180.
Although there were instances where hourly candle closures fell below this level toward the end of August, such occurrences failed to initiate a significant breakdown.
Instead, Bitcoin remains closely aligned with the 200-day EMA as the month concludes.
Prominent trader Moustache, known for insights on market trends, noted the positive development, observing that Bitcoin has reclaimed the daily EMA 200-Line.
Expressing confidence in this trend, Moustache dismissed the likelihood of a more favorable entry point occurring in the near future.
This view contrasts with the bearish outlook propagated by various reputable sources, many of whom anticipate a return to levels as low as $25,000.
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However, trader Jelle echoes Moustache’s optimism by underscoring the importance of Bitcoin’s ability to sustain itself above the $27,000 threshold.
Jelle described the current market behavior as conducive to further upward movement, citing a brief spike followed by a shallow retrace and maintenance above a key high-timeframe (HTF) level.
In the midst of the ongoing discussions about Bitcoin’s performance, analyst Rekt Capital advised caution due to prevailing market conditions.
Some previously crucial bull market moving averages are currently acting as resistance, adding an air of uncertainty to the situation.
Further insight from Material Indicators, a monitoring resource, suggests that Bitcoin’s trajectory could complete a full circle.
For a renewed push towards higher local highs, a resurgence of bullish sentiment is deemed essential. The proprietary trading tools of Material Indicators identify $27,760 and $24,750 as pivotal levels to monitor on the upside and downside, respectively.
This assessment underscores the delicate balance between the potential for continued gains and the looming risk of a downward reversal.
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The parliamentary ethics subcommittee in South Korea has voted against the expulsion of Kim Nam-kuk, a former member of the Democratic Party, the main opposition group.
This decision was reported by the local news agency Yonhap on August 30.
On August 29, the subcommittee dismissed the motion to expel Kim Nam-kuk, with a 3-3 split between the ruling People Power Party (PPP) and the Democratic Party (DP).
The motion required a majority vote to be approved, which did not materialize.
This move comes after Kim faced significant backlash earlier this year due to revelations that he possessed over $4.5 million worth of Wemix (WEMIX) tokens, developed by South Korean blockchain game creator Wemade.
The Wemix tokens had been tradable on major South Korean exchanges until a local court ordered their removal from platforms in late 2022.
Kim’s ownership of Wemix tokens raised serious concerns about potential conflicts of interest, misuse of insider information, and potential involvement in money laundering.
This controversy played a role in expediting the creation of a legal framework mandating that officials disclose their cryptocurrency holdings, including assets like Bitcoin (BTC), in South Korea.
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The requirement for cryptocurrency holdings disclosure is not unique to South Korea.
In July, the country’s Financial Services Commission introduced a new bill stipulating that all companies issuing or possessing cryptocurrencies must disclose their holdings starting from 2024.
In another cryptocurrency-related development, the city of Cheongju in South Korea announced in mid-August that it would initiate the seizure of cryptocurrencies from local tax defaulters.
This initiative compels cryptocurrency exchanges such as Upbit and Bithumb to report on these individuals who have failed to meet their tax obligations.
In conclusion, South Korea’s parliamentary ethics subcommittee’s rejection of the motion to expel Kim Nam-kuk, despite concerns surrounding his cryptocurrency holdings, reflects the ongoing debate and regulatory efforts in the country regarding the transparency and accountability of cryptocurrency-related activities.
This decision aligns with broader initiatives to enhance disclosure and monitoring of cryptocurrency assets within South Korea’s regulatory framework.
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The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) might see its BTC price “discount” eliminated by 2024, according to CoinGlass, a monitoring resource.
After Grayscale secured a legal victory over US regulators on August 29th, the declining performance of GBTC could potentially be addressed.
With a holding of over 600,000 BTC, the fund has been trading below the Bitcoin spot price, known as net asset value, since February 2021.
The once-positive “GBTC premium” has been negative for more than two and a half years, but this trend might be reversing soon.
The US Securities and Exchange Commission’s requirement to consider GBTC’s conversion into a Bitcoin spot price exchange-traded fund under the same terms as other applicants pushed the “discount” to its lowest point since December 2021, now standing at just -17%, less than half of its peak around 50%.
CoinGlass expressed optimism in a future recovery: “Expect Grayscale $GBTC premium to close the discount next year.”
Dylan LeClair, senior analyst at digital asset fund UTXO Management, emphasized GBTC’s significance in influencing Bitcoin’s journey to record highs in 2021 due to its vast assets under management.
He noted, “Today’s discount move from -26% to -17% is the equivalent of 56,000 BTC returning to the AUM of $GBTC if shares are marked to market.”
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The recent Grayscale development might also impact Bitcoin’s price action by reintroducing key moving averages (MAs).
The 200-week and 200-day trend lines, which failed to provide support during Bitcoin’s previous drop in August, could potentially regain their importance.
Despite BTC/USD struggling to maintain these levels, Rekt Capital, a prominent trader and analyst, highlighted the significance of these MAs in reclaiming bullish momentum.
Rekt Capital noted, “This is great initial momentum from ~$26K support which never broke down to fully confirm the Double Top.”
He also stressed the importance of Bitcoin reclaiming Bull Market moving averages as support to confirm a bullish outlook.
In summary, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) could reverse its negative price “discount” in 2024, supported by recent legal developments and positive sentiments.
The fund’s large BTC holdings and its potential impact on Bitcoin’s price movement were highlighted, along with the significance of reclaiming key moving averages for sustained bullish momentum.
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A federal judge has overturned the United States Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) denial of Grayscale Investments’ exchange-traded fund (ETF) proposal for its Bitcoin Trust.
However, experts caution that this ruling does not guarantee the immediate approval of the first Bitcoin ETF in the country.
Judge Neomi Rao of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit ruled on August 29 that Grayscale’s Bitcoin ETF plan was “materially similar” to already approved Bitcoin futures exchange-traded products by the SEC.
Rao’s decision largely criticized the SEC’s reasoning for rejecting Grayscale’s ETF, which was based on the ETF not being “designed to prevent fraudulent and manipulative acts and practices.”
Consequently, the matter will be sent back to the SEC for further review.
The U.S. SEC has consistently rejected applications for spot cryptocurrency ETFs thus far. Various applications, including those from BlackRock, ARK Invest, Bitwise Asset Management, and others, are currently under review.
The commission retains the authority to delay decisions on these applications, potentially postponing approvals until March 2024.
The SEC has not yet publicly commented on the appeals court’s ruling, but reports suggest that the commission will assess the case to determine its subsequent steps.
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While the SEC may contest the ruling, experts speculate that Grayscale’s initial triumph might set a precedent for future approvals.
ETC Group’s CEO, Tim Bevan, expressed confidence that the victory would pave the way for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs despite an anticipated SEC appeal.
He predicted a likely mass approval of applications meeting requirements, possibly occurring in the first quarter of 2024.
Alex Adelman, CEO and co-founder of Lolli, contended that the appeals court’s decision would pressurize the SEC to reconsider its stance on spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Adelman perceived the surge in BTC price following the news as a “vote of confidence” in investment products linked to Bitcoin.
The Crypto Council for Innovation (CCI) spokesperson noted that the ruling broadens the scope for various investors to introduce spot Bitcoin vehicles in the U.S., bringing spot Bitcoin ETFs closer to potential launch.
The next steps for Grayscale or the SEC remain uncertain. Grayscale could rework its application to align more closely with a Bitcoin futures-linked ETF.
Alternatively, the SEC might opt for an “en banc” hearing involving all judges on the D.C. circuit, rather than the three who presided over the Grayscale case.
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Argo Blockchain, a prominent player in the mining industry, grappled with adverse market conditions and intense competition, culminating in a reported loss of $18.8 million during the first half of 2023.
This figure marked a significant improvement, showcasing a 50% reduction compared to the $39.6 million loss in the same period in 2022.
The company’s efforts to enhance its financial position were evident as it successfully curtailed its debt by $4 million over the course of 2023, leaving a total debt of $75 million.
This achievement underscores a remarkable $68 million debt reduction since June 2022, when the company’s debt had reached $143 million.
Revenues followed a downward trajectory, declining by 31% in comparison to the first half of 2022.
Argo attributed this decline, which resulted in $24 million in revenue midway through 2023, to a drop in the value of Bitcoin (BTC) as well as an upswing in the global hash rate and the resultant network difficulty.
The mining company’s operational statistics indicated a slight increase of 1% in mined BTC, totaling 947 BTC, during the initial half of the year, in contrast to the same period in 2022. It’s noteworthy that the global hash rate surged by 78% in 2023.
As of June 2023, Argo’s financial statement displayed $9.1 million in cash holdings along with 46 BTC.
A pivotal moment in the latter part of 2022 saw Argo secure $7.5 million in gross proceeds through a share placement, attracting both institutional and retail investors.
Although facing the specter of bankruptcy in late 2022, Argo’s interim results for 2023 indicate a resolute intent to enhance its total hash rate capacity to 2.8 exahashes per second (EH/s).
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This expansion plan entails deploying 1,628 BlockMiners at its mining facilities located in Quebec.
Furthermore, the company revealed its ongoing discussions regarding the sale of “certain non-core assets” as part of its strategy to mitigate overall debt.
Notably, a transformative sequence of transactions transpired between Argo and Galaxy Digital, involving the sale of the Helios mining facility and associated property for $65 million in December 2022.
This was followed by a strategic refinancing move, resulting in a new $35 million, three-year asset-backed loan with Galaxy, effectively reducing Argo’s total indebtedness by $41 million and streamlining its operational structure.
Matthew Shaw, Chairman of Argo’s board, emphasized the importance of maintaining a sizable fleet of over 27,000 miners, with a significant portion operating through an agreement with Galaxy at the Helios site.
These developments unfolded subsequent to Argo’s financial predicament in late 2022, which prompted the collaboration with Galaxy.
The aftermath of this partnership saw the resignation of Argo’s former CEO, Peter Wall.
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The upcoming Bitcoin halving event, anticipated in less than nine months, has sparked a prevailing belief among analysts and investors that Bitcoin’s value will soar to new heights, potentially exceeding $100,000.
However, the prevailing macroeconomic challenges, the absence of fresh investments into the crypto market, and Bitcoin’s recent price performance, dipping below $30,000, cast doubt on this optimistic projection in the immediate future.
Sue Ennis, the Vice President of Hut 8, shared her insights on the matter during a recent interview with Paul Barron.
Ennis discussed how Bitcoin’s value could breach the $100,000 mark in the coming year and how the halving might impact Bitcoin miners.
Hut 8 presently holds a reserve of 9,152 BTC, with 8,305 unencumbered. The company boasts an installed ASIC hash rate capacity of 2.6 exahashes per second and mined 44.6 BTC in July.
The discussion revolved around whether the increasing complexity of Bitcoin mining could prompt miners to flood the market with Bitcoin.
Notably, Hashrate Index data revealed that surges in mining complexity were often succeeded by drops in Bitcoin’s value.
The interview raised questions about whether miners were selling off Bitcoin due to the impending halving, necessitating more efficient ASICs.
Ennis suggested that the pre- and post-halving price action of BTC might not align with investors’ bullish expectations.
Ennis highlighted unique dynamics within the mining sector, noting that hash rates continued to rise despite Bitcoin’s trading within a particular range. This trend defied conventional wisdom.
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She underscored the emergence of new participants in the global Bitcoin network, driven by substantial energy generation, particularly nuclear and renewable, in the Middle East. Unlike US-based miners, these newcomers demonstrated price-agnostic behavior.
To endure the halving’s impact, Ennis proposed diversifying revenue streams for miners.
Beyond Bitcoin mining, miners could explore artificial intelligence applications, allocate warehouse space for GPU-focused AI training firms, offer industrial-level ASIC repair services, or participate in energy initiatives.
Ennis also discussed the potential impact of a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) launch.
While investors have long anticipated this, regulatory approval has remained elusive.
Ennis believed a spot ETF’s approval would benefit the asset class, yet cautioned that miner equities might face sell pressure as they often functioned as proxy investments for Bitcoin.
Ennis projected a positive outlook for Bitcoin, suggesting a potential price target of $100,000.
She based this on Bitcoin capturing even a small portion of gold’s $13 trillion institutional portfolio, potentially pushing Bitcoin’s price northward.
Notably, the involvement of financial giant BlackRock signaled increased credibility to this outlook.
In summation, as the next Bitcoin halving approaches, predictions of a price surge above $100,000 dominate discussions.
However, economic challenges and recent price trends cast doubt on these predictions, making the future of Bitcoin’s value uncertain in the short term.
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