As of late 2024, twelve U.S. states have disclosed holdings in Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, through their state pension funds or treasuries. Bitcoin analyst Julian Fahrer reported on February 17 that these holdings collectively amount to $330 million.
California Leads with Largest Holdings
Among the states, California has the highest exposure. The California State Teachers Retirement System holds 285,785 shares valued at $83 million, while the California Public Employees’ Retirement System owns 264,713 shares worth approximately $76 million.
California’s pension funds also have significant investments in Coinbase (COIN), holding over $155 million worth of stock.
Other Major State Investments
Florida’s retirement fund owns 160,470 shares of Strategy, valued at $46 million, while Wisconsin’s investment board holds 100,957 shares worth $29 million. Additionally, North Carolina, New Jersey, Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Louisiana, Maryland, Texas, and Utah also have Strategy stock in their public investment portfolios.
Strategy’s Growth and Market Performance
Strategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin with 478,740 BTC worth $46 billion, has seen its stock price surge by 16.5% in early 2025. Over the past year, its value has increased by an impressive 383%, significantly outperforming the broader crypto market’s 62% growth.
Following its rebranding to Strategy on February 5, the company has continued to position itself as a key player in Bitcoin-focused investments, attracting growing interest from institutional investors and pension funds.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has temporarily suspended its fraud lawsuit against Geosyn Mining and its executives after federal prosecutors filed similar charges against the company’s leadership.
On February 14, the SEC submitted a request to a Texas federal court, agreeing to put the case on hold. This decision followed the voluntary surrender of Geosyn CEO Caleb Joseph Ward and former operating chief Jeremy George McNutt, who appeared in court the day before.
Allegations of Fraud and Misuse of Funds
An FBI affidavit, unsealed on February 10, alleged that Ward, McNutt, and former sales manager Jared McNutt orchestrated a scheme to defraud customers. While Jared McNutt was not named in the SEC’s suit, prosecutors claim the trio lured customers with promises of Bitcoin mining services.
Clients were led to believe Geosyn would purchase and operate Bitcoin mining rigs on their behalf in exchange for a monthly fee, with earnings from the mined BTC distributed to them. However, prosecutors allege that in many instances, the equipment was never purchased, and customer funds were instead used to finance personal luxuries.
According to court filings, the executives spent money on guns, luxury watches, a family vacation to Disney World, and an extravagant business trip to Miami, where they accumulated significant charges at restaurants and nightclubs using company credit cards.
Fake Reports and Ponzi-Like Practices
The affidavit also details how the trio misled customers by issuing fake reports showing earnings from non-existent mining operations. Additionally, funds from new investors were used to buy Bitcoin and distribute it to earlier clients, a move reminiscent of a Ponzi scheme.
Prosecutors further alleged that the executives manipulated mining rig prices, overcharging clients beyond the stated procurement fees. A spreadsheet allegedly maintained by the company revealed real versus inflated costs, highlighting the deception.
SEC’s Case and Future Developments
The SEC’s lawsuit claims Ward and McNutt defrauded 64 investors out of approximately $5.6 million between November 2021 and December 2022. The agency also alleges Geosyn failed to purchase 400 out of the 1,400 rigs it had promised and neglected to activate most of the rigs it did buy.
In response, Ward has refuted allegations that the company sold unregistered securities. Additionally, he previously reported McNutt for embezzlement but failed to disclose his own financial misdeeds.
Both Ward and McNutt have urged the court to delay the SEC’s proceedings, citing the criminal case and potential shifts in regulatory enforcement under the Trump administration. Trump has signaled plans to ease regulatory actions against the crypto industry, which could impact the SEC’s approach to enforcement.
Bitcoin (BTC) has broken out of a key technical pattern that has characterized its price movement over the past four years, and analysts predict this could set the stage for a significant price surge in the coming months.
The breakout came after Bitcoin surpassed the upper boundary of a “megaphone” or “broadening wedge” pattern, which typically signals a strong bullish move. This pattern is marked by a series of higher highs and lower lows, and when the price breaks through the upper trendline, it often leads to a parabolic rise. Bitcoin’s recent price action is seen by many as confirmation that the digital asset is poised for a significant upward trend.
Market analyst Gert van Lagen, who identified this pattern, now forecasts that Bitcoin could reach a price range between $270,000 and $300,000 by 2025. His analysis is supported by Elliott Wave Theory, which suggests that Bitcoin is currently in Wave (5), the final and typically most explosive phase of a bullish market. According to Lagen, this wave is likely to extend 1.618x to 2.0x the length of Wave (3), placing Bitcoin on track for substantial gains.
Moreover, comparisons to gold’s historical rise further bolster the bullish outlook for Bitcoin. Analyst apsk32 noted that Bitcoin has followed a trajectory similar to that of gold, a safe-haven asset, and could see its price soar as high as $400,000. Bitcoin’s growing adoption as a treasury asset by corporations, combined with institutional confidence in the cryptocurrency, further fuels this optimism.
Bitcoin’s role as a store of value is increasingly recognized, and many believe it could follow a similar path to gold, particularly as the U.S. government and other global institutions explore Bitcoin reserves. With influential investors and companies continuing to buy Bitcoin, its long-term value proposition looks stronger than ever, and the $270,000 to $300,000 target is seen as just the beginning.
Legislation around cryptocurrency in the United States is heating up, with several states introducing bills to regulate digital assets. The recent flurry of proposals aims to guide the incorporation of cryptocurrencies into state financial systems, with some even seeking to establish Bitcoin reserves.
North Carolina has taken the lead with a bill introduced in February that would allow the state treasurer to invest public funds in “qualified” digital assets, though the state would do so through exchange-traded products (ETPs) rather than directly purchasing crypto.
Speaker of the House Destin Hall, who championed the bill, emphasized that this move would position North Carolina as a leader in tech innovation. “This bill will position North Carolina as a leader in technological adoption & innovation,” Hall said. The bill has already passed its first reading and is being reviewed by the Committee on Commerce and Economic Development.
Michigan has also joined the movement, introducing a similar bill that would allow the creation of a state crypto reserve. The proposed legislation would permit the Michigan treasurer to allocate up to 10% of state investment funds to cryptocurrencies, either by purchasing crypto directly or through ETPs. It also includes provisions that would allow the treasurer to lend the crypto for further investment gains, provided it does not increase financial risk to the state.
Both of these bills reflect growing interest in cryptocurrency as an asset class within state governments, with proponents arguing that the inclusion of digital assets could make their states more competitive in the global economy. Some lawmakers are also taking inspiration from Texas, which has become a hub for crypto-friendly regulations.
This movement towards digital asset regulation is a direct response to the growing influence of the crypto industry in the U.S. As evidenced by the nearly $250 billion spent in 2024 to support pro-crypto candidates, cryptocurrencies are becoming a major political and financial topic in the country.
In the final quarter of 2024, both Coinbase and Robinhood reported financial results that significantly surpassed market expectations, driven by a surge in cryptocurrency trading volumes. This performance has led analysts to adjust their price targets for both companies.
Coinbase reported a revenue of $2.3 billion for Q4 2024, an 88% increase from the previous quarter, with a net income of $1.3 billion. Retail trading volumes reached $94 billion, while institutional volumes hit a three-year high of $345 billion. This growth is attributed to a post-election boost in market optimism, as President Donald Trump has pledged to establish the U.S. as “the world’s crypto capital” and has appointed industry-friendly leaders to key regulatory positions.
Over the past year, Coinbase’s stock has risen approximately 112%. Analysts from JPMorgan have raised their price target for Coinbase’s stock (COIN) to $344, up from $264. They noted, “The fourth quarter, and we would argue 2024 overall, was a pivotal and consequential period for the crypto ecosystem—market caps exploded, volumes jumped, new participants entered the market, and regulatory confidence completely flipped.”
Robinhood, primarily known for stock trading, has seen substantial growth in its cryptocurrency segment. In Q4, the company reported crypto transaction revenue of $358 million, accounting for approximately 35% of its total revenue—the highest contribution to date. This represents a 700% increase in crypto revenue year-over-year. Robinhood’s stock has surged about 365% in the past 12 months. JPMorgan analysts have increased their price target for Robinhood’s shares (HOOD) to $45 from $39, highlighting the growing importance of crypto trading in the company’s business model. They stated, “Typically, we see crypto revenue contribute 10-20% of revenue any given quarter.”
The surge in cryptocurrency trading volumes has been largely driven by renewed market optimism following the U.S. election. President Trump’s administration has expressed strong support for the cryptocurrency industry, with promises to position the U.S. as a global leader in the crypto space. This favorable regulatory environment has encouraged increased participation from both retail and institutional investors, contributing to the impressive financial performances of both Coinbase and Robinhood.
The combination of favorable political developments and a bullish cryptocurrency market has propelled Coinbase and Robinhood to exceed financial expectations in Q4 2024. Analysts remain optimistic about the future growth prospects of both companies, as they continue to capitalize on the expanding crypto ecosystem.
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong believes the U.S. is entering a transformative phase for cryptocurrency, calling it the “dawn of a new era for crypto.” He also forecasted that by 2030, as much as 10% of global GDP could be crypto-based.
“Up to 10% of global GDP could be running on crypto rails by the end of this decade,” Armstrong stated during Coinbase’s fourth-quarter 2024 earnings call on Feb. 13.
He likened today’s crypto adoption to the early 2000s when businesses had to adapt to the internet.
“Onchain is the new online,” he said.
If his prediction holds, it would mean more than $10 trillion worth of assets would be tokenized or onchain, given the World Bank’s estimate of over $100 trillion in global GDP.
Armstrong emphasized Coinbase’s role in this shift, telling investors:
“Coinbase is going to be the preferred partner to come in and build this for many of the companies out there.”
The company reported $2.3 billion in Q4 revenue, marking an 88% increase quarter-over-quarter.
He also highlighted the U.S.’s role in shaping crypto’s future, noting that “President Trump is moving fast to fulfill his promise of making the US the crypto capital of the planet.” Armstrong further pointed out that the U.S. now has its “most pro-crypto Congress,” which is advancing stablecoin and market structure legislation that could influence global adoption.
“Given the US leadership here, the rest of the world is taking notice and will be under pressure to embrace crypto adoption,” he said.
Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller recently advocated for stablecoin regulations that would allow banks to issue dollar-pegged digital assets.
Looking ahead, Armstrong said Coinbase’s focus will be on “growing revenue with our existing products” while driving utility in emerging crypto sectors and building the foundation for long-term growth.
Michigan is the latest U.S. state to introduce legislation for a strategic Bitcoin reserve, joining 19 others in advancing crypto-related investment bills.
On Feb. 13, Representatives Bryan Posthumus and Ron Robinson introduced HB 4087, aiming to amend Michigan’s Management and Budget Act to establish a Bitcoin reserve.
With this move, Michigan becomes the 20th state considering legislation on government-held crypto reserves.
“Michigan can and should join Texas in leading on crypto policy by signing into law my bill creating the Michigan Crypto Strategic Reserve,” Posthumus stated on X.
His proposal follows a similar bill filed by Texas Senator Charles Schwertner on Feb. 12.
The Michigan bill would grant the state treasurer the authority to invest up to 10% of both the general fund and economic stabilization fund into cryptocurrency. However, it does not outline restrictions on which digital assets can be acquired.
A key provision in the bill allows for lending crypto, stating:
“If cryptocurrency can be loaned without increasing financial risk to this state, the state treasurer is permitted to loan the cryptocurrency to yield further return to this state.”
Crypto holdings must be managed through secure custody solutions or exchange-traded products offered by registered investment firms.
Michigan’s state pension fund already has exposure to Bitcoin and Ether through exchange-traded funds.
Posthumus also floated the idea of launching “MichCoin,” describing it as “a stablecoin, which I believe the state of Michigan should create” and one that “would have real value—tied to our gold and silver reserves.”
As of now, 20 states have progressed crypto reserve bills beyond the House committee stage. Texas is the most recent to introduce legislation, while North Dakota remains the only state to have rejected such a proposal.
MicroStrategy has declined to comment on allegations that the Nasdaq-listed company has been inflating its Bitcoin holdings in a bid to raise investor funds more aggressively and continue to accumulate more BTC in the long-run.
The allegation was made by a whistleblower, and, when presented with this accusation by Crypto Intelligence News, MicroStrategy declined to comment.
If MicroStrategy is indeed inflating or misrepresenting its bitcoin holdings, the implications could be severe, both for the company and the broader cryptocurrency market.
First and foremost, misleading investors about its BTC reserves would constitute securities fraud, exposing MicroStrategy to legal action from regulators like the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
This could result in hefty fines, leadership changes, and even criminal liability for executives involved. Shareholders who suffered financial losses due to false information could also file lawsuits, further damaging the company’s financial stability.
Beyond legal risks, this matter undermine trust in corporate bitcoin holdings, as MicroStrategy has positioned itself as a pioneer in corporate BTC adoption, and any scandal could discourage other publicly traded companies from integrating bitcoin into their treasuries. This could stall institutional adoption and negatively impact BTC’s price.
Additionally, given Michael Saylor’s strong influence in the crypto space, any revelation of fraud could trigger panic selling, leading to heightened volatility in bitcoin markets. It could also invite stricter regulatory scrutiny over corporate crypto holdings, potentially leading to new reporting requirements and transparency standards for companies holding digital assets.
MSTR Shareholders Benefit, For Now
Earlier this week, Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Microstrategy Inc. (Nasdaq: MSTR), highlighted the company’s latest bitcoin gains in a Feb. 11 post on X. Now rebranded as Strategy, the company continues to expand its bitcoin holdings.
Saylor stated: “So far this year, Strategy treasury operations have resulted in a BTC Gain of ₿18,527, which equates to a BTC $ Gain of ~$1.8 billion for MSTR shareholders.”
Microstrategy’s bitcoin holdings now stand at 478,740 BTC, with a total net asset value (NAV) of $46.7 billion. The firm reported a 74.3% BTC yield for 2024, cementing its status as the largest corporate bitcoin holder. The latest figures demonstrate its commitment to bitcoin as a primary treasury asset.
In a Feb. 10 SEC filing, the company revealed its latest bitcoin purchase—7,633 BTC for $742.4 million at an average price of $97,255 per coin. This acquisition, which contributed to a 4.1% BTC yield YTD 2025, was funded through stock sales and a preferred stock offering, continuing Microstrategy’s strategy of leveraging capital markets for bitcoin accumulation.
Earlier this month, the company reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, highlighting major milestones. CFO Andrew Kang noted:
“The fourth quarter of 2024 marked our largest ever increase in quarterly bitcoin holdings, culminating in the acquisition of 218,887 bitcoins acquired for $20.5 billion since the end of Q3.”
Microstrategy credited its capital-raising efforts, including equity offerings and convertible note issuances, for fueling these purchases.
Saylor remains bullish on bitcoin’s long-term potential, forecasting a base-case price of $13 million per coin by 2045, with a bear-case at $3 million and a bull-case at $49 million, depending on adoption and growth rates.
Velar, a decentralized Bitcoin exchange protocol, has introduced the Content Creator Yield Program, a groundbreaking initiative that rewards content creators similarly to yield farming. The program will distribute 50,000 $VELAR weekly (200,000 $VELAR monthly) among five contributors through a raffle system that converts engagement into rewards.
This initiative allows creators—ranging from bloggers and podcasters to video producers and tweet authors—to earn points for their contributions. These points translate into raffle entries, determining the weekly winners. By incentivizing high-quality, educational content, Velar aims to merge financial infrastructure with Bitcoin DeFi education.
“The Velar Creator Program is about recognizing the unsung heroes of the Bitcoin ecosystem – the creators who put in the work, with no support or incentives, simply because they believe in the mission. It’s time they get the rewards and respect they deserve,” said Peter Watson, Chief Marketing Officer at Velar.
Each week, 50,000 $VELAR will be distributed among content creators producing insightful Bitcoin DeFi content. Accepted formats include blogs, videos, tweets, and podcasts. Winners are selected based on a points-based raffle, and rewards are sent to their wallets within 48 hours.
Unlike traditional yield farming, which primarily benefits liquidity providers (LPs), Velar’s program offers a sustainable compensation model for Bitcoin DeFi educators. By valuing contributions that drive community growth, the initiative ensures that educational efforts are rewarded.
To maintain quality, Velar has implemented a verification process that prioritizes engagement over sheer volume. The program also resets weekly, providing equal opportunities for both new and smaller creators to participate and earn rewards. This approach fosters a fair, dynamic, and community-driven ecosystem within Bitcoin DeFi.
Bitcoin’s price sharply dropped around 2pm (GMT) on 11 February, amid growing fears of Donald Trump escalating his trade war and due to reports of Binance selling its BTC, Ether and Solana reserves.
The BTC price is still going down, and it is unclear how low it will drop before the market closes in the United States today.
Bitcoin’s price is influenced by a myriad of factors, ranging from fundamental economic principles to immediate geopolitical events. Understanding these elements is crucial for investors aiming to navigate the cryptocurrency’s inherent volatility.
Supply and Demand Dynamics
At its core, Bitcoin’s value is dictated by the basic economic principle of supply and demand. With a capped supply of 21 million coins, Bitcoin’s scarcity plays a pivotal role in its valuation. As more investors seek to acquire Bitcoin, especially during periods of heightened media attention or economic instability, the increased demand against a limited supply can drive prices upward. Conversely, reduced interest or significant sell-offs can exert downward pressure on the price.
Market Sentiment and Speculation
Investor perception significantly impacts Bitcoin’s market movements. Positive news, such as institutional adoption or favorable regulatory developments, can bolster confidence and elevate prices. On the other hand, negative events, including security breaches or adverse governmental policies, can lead to rapid declines. The speculative nature of the market means that traders often react swiftly to news, amplifying volatility.
Regulatory Environment
Governmental regulations and legal frameworks surrounding cryptocurrencies can either enhance or hinder Bitcoin’s growth. Announcements of stricter regulations or potential bans can deter investment, leading to price drops. Conversely, clarity and supportive policies can attract more participants to the market.
Technological Developments and Security
Advancements in blockchain technology, scalability solutions, or improvements in security protocols can enhance Bitcoin’s appeal, potentially driving prices higher. However, security breaches, such as exchange hacks or vulnerabilities in the protocol, can erode trust and result in sharp price declines.
Macroeconomic Factors
Broader economic conditions, including inflation rates, currency fluctuations, and geopolitical tensions, can influence Bitcoin’s price. For instance, during times of economic uncertainty, some investors view Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional financial systems, increasing its demand. Conversely, a strengthening U.S. dollar or rising interest rates can make traditional investments more attractive, potentially leading to a decrease in Bitcoin’s price.
Recent Decline: February 11, 2025
As of February 11, 2025, Bitcoin’s price experienced a decline, trading at approximately $96,899, down 1.24% from the previous close. This downturn can be attributed to several factors:
- Anticipation of Inflation Data: The market is awaiting the release of the January consumer price index report, which is expected to show a 2.9% increase in inflation from the previous year. Higher-than-expected inflation could deter the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates, negatively impacting cryptocurrencies by increasing borrowing costs and making bonds more attractive to investors.
- Market Activity Levels: Recent analyses indicate that Bitcoin activity has hit a one-year low, marked by a sharp decline in the number of transactions. While a spike in demand from long-term holders may underpin the price, the decreased activity suggests a cautious market sentiment.
- Regulatory Concerns: Incidents such as the recent guilty plea of an individual involved in hacking the SEC’s social media account to manipulate Bitcoin’s price highlight ongoing security and regulatory challenges. Such events can undermine investor confidence and contribute to price volatility.