Bitcoin is poised to rebound sharply in March and could potentially reclaim the $105,000 level, as Donald Trump has decided that tariffs will be delayed until a report is released on 1 April.
In a recent interview with CNBC, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett announced that President Donald Trump will finalize decisions on tariff policies for all countries, including Mexico and Canada, following the release of a study on April 1.
Hassett stated, “The schedule is that there’s a study coming out on April 1 and after that the president is going to decide what to do about tariff policies for all countries.”
This announcement has introduced uncertainty into global markets, particularly affecting the cryptocurrency sector. Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, has experienced a significant decline, dropping over 20% from its January peak of $109,225 to trade below $85,000 as of February 27, 2025.
This downturn is attributed to concerns over potential tariffs and broader economic instability.
Analysts have noted that the combination of unmet expectations regarding pro-crypto policies under the Trump administration and recent macroeconomic uncertainties, such as trade tensions and inflation fears, have contributed to this decline. Additionally, a recent $1.5 billion hack of the Bybit exchange has further eroded investor confidence in the cryptocurrency market.
The impending decision on tariffs has also impacted traditional financial markets. U.S. Treasury yields have fluctuated, with the two-year yield rising to 4.09% after hitting a low of 4.065% in the prior session, and the 10-year yield climbing to 4.2772% from a 2.5-month trough of 4.245%. These movements reflect investor caution amid the uncertainty surrounding trade policies.
As the April 1 deadline approaches, markets worldwide are closely monitoring the situation. The potential implementation of tariffs could have far-reaching implications for global trade and economic stability, influencing both traditional and digital asset markets.
While Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies have struggled in recent days, Litecoin (LTC) has seen a surprising rally. The altcoin has managed to outperform the market, gaining momentum despite broader bearish sentiment.
Why Is Litecoin Surging?
The unexpected price jump has been attributed to:
- Network activity growth, with increasing LTC transactions.
- Speculation on upcoming developments within the Litecoin ecosystem.
- Hedge against Bitcoin’s downturn, as some traders rotate capital into LTC.
Market analyst Tom Brown remarked: “Litecoin’s resilience in the face of a broader market correction is impressive. It remains one of the most undervalued assets.”
Can LTC Sustain This Rally?
While Litecoin’s rally is notable, sustaining its upward momentum will depend on whether Bitcoin’s decline stabilizes or accelerates further.
Bitcoin’s recent price movements have left traders uncertain, with some analysts warning that the bottom may not be in yet. Many traders are now eyeing the $74,000 zone as a key level for a potential pullback.
Trump’s EU Tariff Threat Adds to Market Volatility
Global markets, including cryptocurrencies, faced turbulence following Donald Trump’s renewed tariff threats against the European Union. This geopolitical uncertainty has led to increased risk aversion in traditional and digital asset markets.
Crypto trader Jane Smith noted: “Bitcoin remains in a fragile position. If macroeconomic pressures continue, a deeper correction could be on the horizon.”
What’s Next for BTC?
Traders are closely monitoring key support levels, with $74K emerging as a critical area. A breakdown below this level could trigger further downside, while a bounce could reignite bullish momentum.
Since spot Bitcoin ETFs were launched in the US in early 2024, they have attracted tens of billions of dollars of inflows, and this institutional demand was the primary driving force for BTC’s rally over the last 12 or so months.
Ether ETFs were also approved by the SEC last year, but their inflows have been relatively limited thus far.
Market experts believe that spot Bitcoin ETFs will continue to be the most popular crypto products available to institutional investors, though other crypto ETFs – including funds made up of a basket of cryptos – are likely to attract significant inflows as the market matures.
Speaking to Crypto Intelligence News, Adrian Fritz, Head of Research at 21Shares, explained that Bitcoin has proven more popular due to its value proposition being more clearly defined, but predicted that demand for non-Bitcoin ETFs is likely to increase.
“This cycle has clearly been centered around Bitcoin. As the most established crypto asset, it is widely seen as the safest choice, with a straightforward value proposition as digital gold, a well-defined regulatory status as a commodity, and strong institutional trust,” Fritz said.
“Naturally, investors—especially institutions—feel more comfortable allocating to BTC over other crypto assets.
“While this trend may persist in the short term, we expect demand for non-Bitcoin products to grow over time.
“As investors become more familiar with the broader crypto ecosystem, they will start exploring opportunities beyond Bitcoin, leading to increased traction and momentum for diversified offerings.”
Roxanna Islam, Head of Sector and Industry Research at VettaFi, echoed this sentiment and noted that Bitcoin is also dominating institutional demand for crypto products outside the US market.
“Bitcoin overall has significantly more demand than other cryptocurrencies–it holds approximately 60% of market share,” Islam told Crypto Intelligence News.
“When packaged into spot ETFs, that dominance is even higher due to retail preference for Bitcoin. While I think there will be demand for other spot crypto ETFs, it will still remain relatively lower than Bitcoin.
“This is similar to markets outside the U.S. where large suites of crypto ETPs are offered, yet Bitcoin ETPs are significantly more popular.”
Islam added that she believes multi-token crypto ETFs “will play a large role in helping investors diversify their crypto holdings, but spot Bitcoin ETFs will likely still dominate in terms of popularity since any mainstream retail investors are satisfied with using just Bitcoin as a crypto play.”
Fritz noted that although Bitcoin ETFs are likely to remain dominant, exchange traded funds made up of numerous cryptocurrencies could eventually become more popular, as seen in the stock market.
“As long as it serves as the primary entry point for institutional investors, single-asset BTC products will likely maintain higher demand in the near term.
“However, as the crypto market matures, investor preferences may shift toward diversified exposure to altcoins beyond Bitcoin—much like in traditional finance, where index funds and sector ETFs are often preferred over single-stock investments.”
With regards to new crypto-based ETF filings, Islam noted that we are already seeing new, non-spot crypto products being developed.
“Filings for new crypto ETFs have extended beyond spot products and are following broader ETF trends including leveraged and buffered ETFs.
“It is likely that these trends will continue to align with the broader ETF market as the crypto ETF ecosystem grows more complex,” she concluded.
The global M2 money supply’s expansion is emerging as a potential catalyst for a significant Bitcoin rally. Analysts are observing this trend closely, though they advise caution against overcommitting based on this single indicator.
Correlation Between Money Supply and Bitcoin’s Trajectory
Pav Hundal, lead analyst at Australian cryptocurrency exchange Swyftx, discussed the implications of the increasing M2 money supply on Bitcoin’s prospects. He noted, “In normal times, global loosening measures are a pretty reliable lead indicator for crypto.”
Hundal emphasized that current data indicates active spot buyers and highlighted the U.S. government’s recent decision to raise its debt ceiling by $4 trillion as a significant factor.
The year-on-year fixed exchange rate for the M2 money supply of the four major central banks reached 3.65% in January, according to MacroMicro data. Historically, an increase in the global M2 money supply has been associated with higher Bitcoin prices, driven by enhanced liquidity and reduced interest rates.
Analysts’ Perspectives on Potential Bitcoin Surge
Economist Lyn Alden has previously identified a strong correlation between global M2 money supply growth and Bitcoin’s price movements, noting that Bitcoin aligns with global M2 trends approximately 83% of the time.
Investment research entity Bravo Research highlighted that the U.S. money supply has doubled over the past decade, suggesting that this liquidity surge could fuel a parabolic rise in Bitcoin’s value.
Summary
- The global M2 money supply is expanding, a trend historically linked to Bitcoin price surges.
- Analysts warn against over-reliance on M2 growth but acknowledge its potential impact on Bitcoin.
- Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal notes that liquidity expansion often benefits crypto markets.
- The U.S. debt ceiling increase by $4 trillion is seen as a contributing factor to rising liquidity.
- The year-on-year M2 growth rate reached 3.65% in January, suggesting increased market liquidity.
- Economist Lyn Alden found Bitcoin follows M2 money supply trends 83% of the time.
- Research firm Bravo Research highlights that U.S. money supply has doubled in a decade, potentially fueling Bitcoin’s next rally.
- While bullish sentiment grows, some experts caution that other macroeconomic factors must be considered before predicting a parabolic rise.
The cryptocurrency market recently faced a downturn following U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement to proceed with tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Binance CEO Richard Teng addressed this development, characterizing the market’s response as a “short-term tactical retreat” rather than a fundamental reversal.
Market Resilience in the Face of Economic Policies
Teng emphasized that the cryptocurrency market has historically demonstrated resilience in the face of macroeconomic fluctuations. He stated, “It’s important to view this as a tactical retreat, not a reversal. Crypto has been here before and bounced back even stronger.”
The recent market dip saw Bitcoin’s price fall below $90,000 on February 25, a first since November. This decline was triggered by President Trump’s confirmation that a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico would proceed as scheduled, following a prior 30-day suspension.
Investor Sentiment and Market Indicators
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which gauges market sentiment, dropped to 21 out of 100 on February 26, indicating “Extreme Fear.” This represents a significant decline from a “Neutral” score of 29 just two days prior. Similarly, Nansen’s Risk Barometer shifted to a “Risk-off” stance after maintaining a “Neutral” position since mid-November.
Despite these indicators, Teng remains optimistic, noting that the fundamental aspects of the cryptocurrency market continue to strengthen. He highlighted the robust demand for crypto ETFs and the ongoing applications for new launches in the U.S. as positive signs. Since the resignation of former SEC Chair Gary Gensler on January 20, asset managers have filed for ETFs linked to assets such as XRP, Cardano, Solana, and Dogecoin.
Teng concluded, “The fundamental indicators of crypto’s strength are getting stronger,” suggesting confidence in the market’s ability to recover and thrive despite current challenges.
Summary
- Binance CEO Richard Teng describes the recent crypto market decline as a “tactical retreat” rather than a full reversal.
- Bitcoin’s price fell below $90,000 on February 25 after the U.S. announced tariffs on Canada and Mexico.
- Teng emphasized that crypto has recovered from similar downturns before and expects resilience.
- The Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropped to 21 (Extreme Fear), signaling increased investor caution.
- The Nansen Risk Barometer moved to a “Risk-off” position for the first time since mid-November.
- Despite market fear, Teng highlights strong demand for crypto ETFs and increasing institutional interest.
- New ETF applications for XRP, Cardano, Solana, and Dogecoin have emerged after SEC Chair Gensler’s resignation.
- Teng remains confident in crypto’s long-term growth, despite short-term macroeconomic pressures.
In a significant market movement, U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced their largest-ever daily net outflows, totaling $937.9 million on February 25. This marked the sixth consecutive trading day of outflows, coinciding with Bitcoin’s price dipping below the $90,000 threshold.
ETF Exodus Amidst Bitcoin Price Decline
The substantial outflows from these ETFs occurred as Bitcoin’s value decreased by 3.4% over the previous day, reaching a 24-hour low of $86,140 from an intraday high exceeding $92,000. Leading the outflows was the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC), which saw a record-setting withdrawal of $344.7 million. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) followed with an outflow of $164.4 million.
Other notable outflows included $88.3 million from the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) and a combined $151.9 million from Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) and Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC).
Cumulatively, these 11 Bitcoin funds have experienced over $2.4 billion in net outflows throughout February, with only four days recording net inflows.
Industry Perspectives on the Outflows
Nate Geraci, President of the ETF Store, expressed his astonishment at the traditional financial sector’s aversion to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. In a February 26 post on X (formerly Twitter), he remarked, “Still amazed at how much TradFi hates Bitcoin and crypto. Huge victory laps at every downturn. Hate to break it to you, but no matter how big drawdowns are, it’s not going away.”
Analysts such as BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes and 10x Research’s head of research, Markus Thielen, suggest that the majority of Bitcoin ETF investors are hedge funds engaging in arbitrage strategies rather than long-term holders.
Hayes predicted on February 24 that Bitcoin’s price could decline to $70,000 due to continued ETF outflows. He explained that many IBIT holders are hedge funds that went long on ETFs while shorting CME futures to earn yields higher than short-term U.S. Treasurys. As these yields diminish alongside Bitcoin’s price, these funds may unwind their positions, impacting the market further.
Thielen’s research indicates that over half of spot Bitcoin ETF investors are involved in arbitrage, selling ETFs while buying Bitcoin futures to maintain a market-neutral stance. This strategy effectively offsets any directional market impact, suggesting that the outflows may not directly correlate with a long-term bearish outlook for Bitcoin.
Summary
- U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw their largest-ever daily net outflows of $937.9 million on February 25.
- This marked six consecutive days of outflows, with Bitcoin’s price dropping below $90,000.The Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) led the withdrawals with $344.7 million in outflows.
- Other major funds, including BlackRock’s IBIT and Grayscale’s GBTC, also experienced significant withdrawals.
- Over $2.4 billion in net outflows have been recorded across 11 Bitcoin ETFs in February.
- Analysts believe hedge funds engaging in arbitrage strategies are behind these outflows rather than long-term holders.
- Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin could drop to $70,000 due to continued ETF outflows.
- Market sentiment remains cautious, but some experts argue this trend does not indicate a long-term bearish outlook.
Bitcoin’s price has taken a sharp hit, falling to a multi-month low as broader market uncertainties weigh on investor sentiment. The decline comes amid widespread crypto liquidations and growing concerns over potential tariffs affecting the global financial landscape.
Bitcoin’s Price Decline and Liquidation Wave
Bitcoin dropped below the $90,000 mark, marking one of its steepest declines in recent months. The sell-off triggered a wave of liquidations across the crypto derivatives market, with over $500 million worth of leveraged positions wiped out in a single day.
Analysts attribute the decline to a combination of macroeconomic uncertainty, profit-taking by institutional investors, and technical factors influencing market sentiment.
One trader commented, “Bitcoin’s recent price action suggests a shift in market momentum, with increased selling pressure from large holders contributing to the downside.”
Global Tariff Concerns and Their Impact on Crypto Markets
Another key factor driving Bitcoin’s downturn is the growing uncertainty surrounding global trade policies. Reports of potential new tariffs on technology and financial products have raised fears of economic slowdowns, impacting investor confidence across multiple asset classes.
If global trade tensions escalate, risk assets like Bitcoin could face further downward pressure as investors seek safer alternatives.
Broader Crypto Market Reactions
Bitcoin’s decline also affected the wider cryptocurrency market, with major altcoins experiencing significant losses. Ethereum, Solana, and other top assets fell by 5-10% within the same timeframe, mirroring Bitcoin’s downward trend.
The sudden market correction highlights the volatility of the crypto sector, particularly during periods of macroeconomic uncertainty.
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
Despite the recent downturn, some analysts believe that Bitcoin’s long-term fundamentals remain strong. Institutional adoption, regulatory developments, and ongoing advancements in blockchain technology continue to support the case for Bitcoin as a long-term asset.
However, in the short term, traders remain cautious, closely watching key support levels and market trends to determine whether Bitcoin can stabilize or faces further downside risk.
A group of Ohio lawmakers has introduced a new bill aimed at eliminating taxes on digital asset payments, positioning the state as a potential leader in cryptocurrency adoption.
The proposed legislation, if passed, would ensure that Ohio residents and businesses can transact in digital currencies without facing additional tax burdens.
Details of the Proposed Bill
The bill, introduced by a bipartisan group of legislators, seeks to amend the state’s tax code to exempt digital asset transactions from sales and capital gains taxes. Lawmakers argue that such a measure would encourage the use of cryptocurrencies for everyday transactions, fostering innovation and investment in the state’s digital economy.
Under the proposal, Ohio would become one of the few jurisdictions in the United States to offer tax-free cryptocurrency transactions. This move could attract businesses looking to integrate blockchain-based payment systems while providing financial incentives for individuals to adopt digital currencies.
Motivation Behind the Tax Exemption
Supporters of the bill believe that digital assets should be treated similarly to cash transactions rather than taxable commodities. They argue that imposing taxes on crypto payments discourages mainstream adoption and creates unnecessary complexity for users.
One of the lawmakers backing the bill stated, “By eliminating taxes on digital asset payments, Ohio has the opportunity to establish itself as a leader in the blockchain economy and attract new businesses to the state.”
Additionally, proponents highlight the need for regulatory clarity, arguing that crypto transactions are often subject to conflicting tax treatments across different jurisdictions. A tax-free environment, they claim, would simplify compliance for businesses and individuals alike.
Challenges and Opposition
While the bill has garnered support from crypto enthusiasts and blockchain startups, it faces opposition from policymakers concerned about potential revenue losses. Critics argue that tax exemptions for digital assets could reduce state income and create loopholes for tax avoidance.
Another concern is the federal government’s stance on cryptocurrency taxation. The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) classifies digital assets as property, making them subject to capital gains taxes at the national level. If Ohio moves forward with its bill, it could face legal challenges or require additional legislative coordination at the federal level.
Potential Impact on the Crypto Industry
If passed, the legislation could set a precedent for other states to follow, potentially leading to wider adoption of cryptocurrency-friendly tax policies. Blockchain advocates see this as a crucial step in making crypto transactions more viable for everyday purchases, from coffee shops to online retail.
As lawmakers continue debating the bill, the outcome will be closely watched by the broader crypto community, particularly as states across the U.S. explore ways to regulate and integrate digital assets into their economies.
Dubai is considering new regulations that would require cryptocurrency whales to disclose their identities. This move is part of an effort to enhance financial transparency and prevent market manipulation within the digital asset sector.
Why Dubai Wants Crypto Whales to Reveal Themselves
Dubai’s financial regulators are increasingly concerned about the influence of major digital asset holders on market volatility. Crypto whales—individuals or entities holding significant amounts of cryptocurrency—can dramatically impact market prices with large buy or sell orders.
Authorities fear that these entities could engage in practices such as pump-and-dump schemes, leading to artificial price inflation followed by sharp declines that harm retail investors.
By requiring identity disclosure, regulators aim to introduce more accountability into the crypto sector, reducing the potential for market manipulation and illicit financial activities.
Proposed Regulatory Measures
The proposed regulations would likely mandate that any entity holding more than a certain threshold of digital assets—possibly $10 million or more—must disclose their holdings and identity. The information would be reported to Dubai’s financial authorities, ensuring that large-scale crypto transactions are subject to greater oversight.
Additionally, crypto exchanges operating in Dubai may be required to enforce stricter Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) policies to monitor whale transactions effectively.
Market Reactions and Concerns
While some industry leaders welcome the move as a step toward legitimacy, others argue that forced disclosure could deter institutional investors from operating in Dubai’s crypto market. Privacy advocates also raise concerns, arguing that anonymity is a core principle of cryptocurrency.
However, regulators believe that balancing transparency with investor privacy will help solidify Dubai’s reputation as a global hub for regulated crypto activities.
Future Implications for the Crypto Industry
If Dubai proceeds with these regulations, it could set a precedent for other jurisdictions to follow. Similar measures may be adopted by global financial hubs looking to enhance oversight in the crypto space.
Ultimately, Dubai’s push for transparency is another sign that governments worldwide are moving toward stricter crypto regulations, ensuring that digital assets are integrated into the mainstream financial system responsibly.