On November 30th, Bitcoin (BTC) displayed resilience in the face of fresh United States macroeconomic data, largely ignoring it as traders eagerly awaited the monthly closing figures.
Despite a recent failed breakout attempt, BTC prices remained in a narrow intraday range below $38,000, showing signs of stability.
The focus of market participants was on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, the Federal Reserve’s favored gauge of inflation.
Hopes were high that the PCE Index would inject volatility into the market, but at the time of writing, it had not yet impacted the situation.
The data came in broadly in line with expectations, supporting the Fed’s monetary tightening stance and confirming a decline in inflation.
However, financial commentary from The Kobeissi Letter questioned whether this would lead to interest rate cuts, a critical consideration for risk assets.
Kobeissi Letter pointed to Bill Ackman, CEO of Pershing Square Capital Management, who had earlier predicted rate cuts starting in Q1 2024.
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The commentary emphasized the lag effect of monetary policy, cautioning against premature rate cuts by the Fed.
Despite the PCE data, market expectations for Fed policy remained unchanged, with data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicating near-unanimous expectations of a rate hike pause in the coming month.
For Bitcoin enthusiasts, the focus was primarily on the monthly closing figures. At the time of writing, BTC/USD had posted nearly a 10% gain for November, marking the first positive performance in the 11th month since 2020.
A close above $37,660 would represent the highest monthly closing price since May 2022, a positive signal for the cryptocurrency.
Analysts also noted the bullish potential in Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) readings.
Traders like Jelle pointed out the formation of a hidden bullish divergence over the past month, with Bitcoin breaking its RSI downtrend.
The key focus was on whether the price could hold in the designated range, and the monthly close was eagerly awaited as the cryptocurrency market braced for potential movements.
In summary, despite macroeconomic data and Fed considerations, Bitcoin remained steady, with traders closely monitoring the monthly closing figures as the cryptocurrency aimed for positive gains in November and potential bullish momentum in the coming days.
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