JPMorgan analysts have suggested that investors have likely completed most of their profit-taking from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), potentially alleviating downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
This observation coincides with record high daily net outflows from United States spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on their ninth day of trading.
In a market report dated January 25, the analysts, led by Market Strategy Managing Director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, stated that “GBTC profit taking has largely happened already.”
This implies that much of the negative influence on Bitcoin stemming from this source has subsided.
Grayscale’s fund had been trading at a discount to its net asset value since early 2021.
The analysts attributed the $4.3 billion outflows from the fund since its conversion to an ETF on January 11 to “profit-taking on previous GBTC investments.”
This profit-taking is seen as one of the key reasons behind Bitcoin’s recent price drop of nearly 20%, causing it to trade below $40,000 following the launch of multiple U.S. Bitcoin ETFs.
JPMorgan’s assessment follows a significant event where the ten approved spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced a net outflow of $158 million on January 24.
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This marked the largest net outflow since their launch, as per BitMEX research data shared on social media platform X on January 25.
Grayscale’s ETF witnessed $429 million in outflows on January 24, while the most recent data from BitMEX for January 25 indicated a decrease to $394 million – the second-lowest outflow on record.
Data for January 24, compiled by X account CC15Capital, revealed that Bitcoin ETF holdings held by all ten funds declined by 4,610 BTC, valued at nearly $184 million.
In their note, JPMorgan analysts also highlighted the emergence of BlackRock and Fidelity’s spot Bitcoin ETFs as competitors to GBTC.
These ETFs have accumulated assets under management of $1.9 billion and $1.8 billion, respectively.
On January 24, BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF experienced the lowest inflow since its launch, attracting only $66.2 million.
Despite this, it increased its Bitcoin holdings by 1,663 BTC, bringing its total to nearly 45,700 BTC.
In conclusion, JPMorgan analysts believe that the bulk of profit-taking from GBTC is likely over, potentially relieving the downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
However, they acknowledge the emergence of strong competitors in the form of BlackRock and Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETFs.
BlackRock’s conservative approach to advertising its iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) may prove to be a winning strategy in attracting the affluent baby boomer demographic.
On January 11, BlackRock, a financial juggernaut, unveiled its first video advertisement for IBIT, introducing investors to the concept of Bitcoin and how they can gain exposure to it through the new ETF.
The ad, running for nearly two minutes, features a BlackRock executive calmly explaining Bitcoin’s value proposition and the ease of investing in the ETF.
Jay Jacobs, BlackRock’s US head of thematics and alternative ETFs, highlights IBIT’s accessibility, operational simplicity, and the reputation and expertise BlackRock brings to the ETF space.
Notably, the advertisement steers clear of flashy graphics and complex crypto jargon, setting it apart from other Bitcoin ETF commercials.
Industry commentators have lauded BlackRock’s approach as tailor-made for the well-off baby boomer audience.
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Eric Balchunas, an ETF analyst at Bloomberg, noted that the ad’s calm demeanor, straightforward message, soothing music, and the absence of a tie on the executive convey a reassuring message: “it’s okay now, the adults are here.”
Chris Dark, founder and managing partner of Fourth Turning Investments, dubbed the ad “so boring it’s brilliant” for its effectiveness in capturing the attention of baby boomers.
Digital asset investor Fred Krueger concurred, asserting that wealthy boomers prefer traditional finance firms like BlackRock and Fidelity over tattoo-covered Gen-Xers advocating for a financial system overhaul.
He indicated that they are now eagerly adding IBIT and FBTC to their portfolios, perceiving it as a Wall Street takeover of the Bitcoin narrative.
The battle for marketing supremacy among Bitcoin ETFs began with Bitwise’s ad release on December 18, 2023.
Shortly after, ETF issuers such as Hashdex and VanEck also unveiled their advertisements. In January, ARK Invest and Grayscale launched new advertising campaigns.
The Valkyrie Bitcoin Fund (BRRR) even advertised on the Nasdaq billboard in Times Square on January 13.
While BlackRock, Fidelity Investments, and others have reportedly showcased their Bitcoin ETFs on their homepages, the deliberate simplicity of BlackRock’s ad campaign appears to have struck a chord with the affluent baby boomer demographic, potentially setting the tone for success in this competitive market.
The possibility of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) facing rejection by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) this month is slim, according to Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas.
While the outcome remains uncertain, Balchunas suggests that any delay or rejection is more likely to be due to the SEC’s need for additional time rather than an outright denial.
Balchunas, along with fellow ETF analyst James Seyffart, maintains a 90% probability of approval by January 10 but has refrained from raising the odds further due to this lingering concern.
He emphasizes that the 10% chance of rejection encompasses various scenarios.
However, Balchunas believes that the extensive time and effort invested by both the SEC and Bitcoin ETF issuers make an outright rejection at the last moment highly unlikely.
He characterizes such a rejection as the “rug pull of the decade,” considering the significant effort expended, particularly during the holiday season.
Vetle Lunde, an analyst from crypto research firm K33 Research, shares a similar outlook, estimating the chances of an ETF rejection at just 5% in a January 2 market report.
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Should the SEC issue an outright denial, Balchunas speculates that fund issuers might take legal action against the regulator, following the example of crypto asset manager Grayscale.
He believes that the substantial financial investments and efforts made thus far would discourage parties from giving up easily.
Public comments addressing the SEC’s request for feedback on the ETF filings continue to be submitted, with two recent submissions on January 2 advocating for an outright rejection.
One letter argued that Bitcoin’s decentralized nature and its potential to bypass traditional financial systems could make it attractive to authoritarian regimes seeking to evade sanctions and exert control over their citizens.
In summary, while the possibility of a Bitcoin ETF rejection remains, analysts like Eric Balchunas and Vetle Lunde view it as a low probability event, with the SEC more likely to request additional time for review rather than outright denial.
The significant investments and efforts put into this endeavor make an outright rejection less plausible, and legal action might follow if such a scenario were to occur.
Public feedback on the matter continues to be submitted to the SEC, reflecting ongoing discussions within the crypto community.
Argentina’s newly formed government, led by the self-proclaimed libertarian, Javier Milei, has announced plans to facilitate the legalization of cryptocurrency holdings, even for individuals who have failed to declare them for tax purposes.
On December 27, the Argentine Congress introduced the “Law of Bases and Starting Points for the Freedom of Argentines,” a comprehensive 351-page bill that encompasses reforms across various sectors, including taxation, labor, criminal justice, energy, and electoral processes.
This legislative initiative marks the beginning of Milei’s controversial reformist agenda.
Within the bill, there are provisions related to cryptocurrency and tax compliance.
Specifically, it introduces an “asset regularization scheme,” allowing taxpayers to legalize their assets without the need for additional documentation to prove their origins.
Under this regularization scheme, taxpayers will be subject to a flat tax rate on their assets.
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Those who declare their holdings by the end of March 2024 will face a 5% tax rate, while those declaring between April and June 2024 will be subject to a 10% tax rate. From July to September 2024, the tax rate will increase to 15%.
Previously, in December, Diana Mondino, Argentina’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, International Trade, and Worship, announced a decree focused on economic reform and deregulation.
While not explicitly mentioning cryptocurrencies, the decree allowed for the use of BTC and other digital currencies under certain conditions.
It included provisions enabling debtors to settle their obligations using currencies not recognized as legal tender in Argentina.
Javier Milei ascended to power amid soaring inflation rates across Argentina.
Notably, he has previously referred to Bitcoin as a means to return money to the private sector, but since assuming office, he has not made any public statements regarding digital assets.
Argentina’s move to ease cryptocurrency legalization procedures reflects a broader trend seen in various countries worldwide, as governments grapple with regulating the burgeoning crypto market while accommodating its growing popularity among citizens.
Former BitMEX CEO, Arthur Hayes, has shed light on the recent $4.3 billion settlement paid by Binance, attributing it to the exchange’s explosive growth and defiance of traditional financial and political establishments.
Binance, founded by Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, admitted to violating U.S. laws regarding money laundering and terror financing.
In just six years since its inception in 2017, Binance has become the largest global exchange by trading volume, even ranking in the top 10 among traditional exchanges in terms of average daily volume, a testament to its burgeoning global influence.
Hayes contends that the financial and political elite became uncomfortable with intermediaries in the blockchain revolution being controlled by non-traditional actors.
Binance’s role in enabling regular individuals to easily own cryptocurrencies and intermediaries disrupted the established order.
Hayes emphasized that Binance allowed people to participate in the industrial revolution in under 10 minutes through desktop and mobile trading apps.
CZ and Binance bore the brunt of the U.S. Department of Justice’s enforcement actions, paying the largest corporate fine in Pax Americana history.
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Hayes juxtaposed this with previous mainstream banking scandals and the 2008 global financial crisis, where traditional institutions often escaped significant consequences.
Hayes then delved into the economic dynamics of China and the U.S., suggesting that Chinese capital may flow into Bitcoin in the coming years.
Chinese state-owned enterprises and investors, facing limited returns domestically, are seeking offshore investments.
Hayes quoted Peking University professor Michael Pettis, explaining that China’s debt investments don’t yield sufficient returns, prompting capital to enter global markets and support various risk assets.
Hong Kong’s recent approval of licensed cryptocurrency exchanges and brokers opens the door for Chinese companies and investors to purchase Bitcoin.
Having been a dominant force in Bitcoin mining in the past, many Chinese investors are familiar with the asset’s potential as a store of value.
On a macro scale, Hayes proposed that if China increases the availability and affordability of Chinese yuan-based credit, it could lead to a decline in the price of U.S. dollar-based credit.
This, in turn, might cause the prices of fixed supply assets like Bitcoin and gold to rise in dollar terms.
The global nature of fiat credit would likely drive capital into hard monetary assets like Bitcoin.
In conclusion, Hayes outlined a scenario where the success of Binance and changing economic dynamics, particularly in China, could drive significant capital inflows into Bitcoin and other hard assets in the future.
Poloniex, the cryptocurrency exchange owned by Justin Sun, is poised to resume its operations following a major security breach in November, as announced by the company on November 15th.
In its official statement, Poloniex revealed that it has made significant progress in restoring its platform after the devastating $100 million hack.
The exchange reported that its operations are now running smoothly and has even engaged the services of a reputable security auditing firm to bolster the safety of users’ funds on the platform.
Furthermore, Poloniex is actively preparing to restart its deposit and withdrawal services.
Poloniex’s official statement read, “Currently, they are in the final stages of the security audit and verification processes for Poloniex.
Upon completion of the audit, we will promptly resume deposit and withdrawal services on our platform.” While this evaluation process is ongoing, it is anticipated to conclude within the coming days.
The security breach occurred on November 10th, resulting in cybercriminals stealing over $100 million worth of cryptocurrency from Poloniex.
In response, Poloniex took immediate action by disabling its wallet after detecting suspicious transactions. CertiK, a blockchain security firm, indicated that the incident was likely due to a “private key compromise.”
Justin Sun, the owner of Poloniex who acquired the exchange in 2019, swiftly addressed the situation on social media, assuring users that the company was actively investigating the hack.
Sun also committed to fully reimbursing affected users, emphasizing that Poloniex maintains a robust financial position and is exploring potential collaborations with other exchanges to recover the lost funds.
This unfortunate event follows another recent setback for Poloniex in 2023 when the exchange agreed to a $7.6 million settlement with the United States Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Asset Control.
This settlement was related to more than 65,000 apparent violations of multiple sanctions programs, demonstrating the challenges and regulatory scrutiny faced by cryptocurrency exchanges.
As Poloniex progresses towards the completion of its security audit and the resumption of its services, the crypto community watches closely, hoping for a successful recovery and a strengthened commitment to safeguarding user assets in the future.
BlackRock has officially confirmed its plans to launch a spot Ether exchange-traded fund (ETF) by submitting a 19b-4 form to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on November 9.
The filing, made on behalf of the $9-trillion asset management firm by Nasdaq, proposes an ETF named the “iShares Ethereum Trust.” This move signifies BlackRock’s strategic expansion beyond Bitcoin in pursuit of its ETF objectives.
Prior to the formal filing, BlackRock had registered the corporate entity “iShares Ethereum Trust” in Delaware, providing the initial indication that a spot Ether ETF filing was on the horizon.
This development aligns with the growing interest among financial institutions, including BlackRock, in cryptocurrency-backed ETFs in recent months.
According to Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart, there are currently several firms vying for SEC approval to launch a spot Ether ETF.
These contenders include VanEck, ARK 21Shares, Invesco, Grayscale, and Hashdex, all eager to tap into the growing demand for cryptocurrency investment products.
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In response to the news of BlackRock’s progress with the iShares Ethereum Trust, the price of Ether (ETH) experienced a significant surge, rising by 8.9% to reach $2,080.
Over the past 24 hours, ETH has gained 10.1%, as reported by CoinGecko.
This price rally has allowed Ether to regain some market dominance against Bitcoin (BTC), which had been outperforming ETH in recent months.
As a result of this positive development, ETH’s market dominance has increased to 17%, marking a 1.3% percentage point gain compared to its previous position.
The cryptocurrency market continues to witness increased interest from institutional investors and asset management firms, with BlackRock’s move into the spot Ether ETF space being a notable indication of the evolving landscape of cryptocurrency investment opportunities.
HSBC, one of the world’s leading global banking companies, has unveiled its ambitious plan to introduce an institutional custody platform designed for tokenized securities, often referred to as security tokens.
In collaboration with Metaco, a technology firm owned by Ripple, HSBC is set to integrate its institutional platform, Harmonize, with a groundbreaking custody service tailored for digital assets.
This strategic partnership was officially announced on November 8, signaling HSBC’s firm commitment to the burgeoning world of digital finance.
The anticipated launch date for this innovative digital asset custody service is slated for 2024, marking a significant milestone for the banking giant.
It will complement HSBC’s pre-existing digital asset issuance platform, known as HSBC Orion, and its offering for tokenized physical gold, which made its debut on November 1, 2023. Collectively, these services will constitute a comprehensive digital asset solution for HSBC’s institutional clients, further solidifying the bank’s position in the evolving digital asset markets.
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John O’Neill, HSBC’s Global Head of Digital Assets Strategy, emphasized the significance of these new offerings, stating that they underscore HSBC’s dedication to advancing digital asset markets.
The decision to venture into digital asset custody was prompted by the escalating demand from asset managers and asset owners for secure custody and fund administration services for their digital assets. Zhu Kuang Lee, HSBC’s Head of Digital, Data, and Innovation, highlighted the evolving nature of this market, stressing that asset servicers have never faced a more critical moment to innovate.
Notably, HSBC clarified that its forthcoming digital asset custody platform for institutional investors will exclusively cover security tokens and will not encompass cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or stablecoins such as Tether.
In contrast to pure cryptocurrencies, tokenized securities represent digital versions of securities issued and transacted on blockchain networks.
HSBC’s foray into the realm of tokenized securities aligns with its broader engagement with blockchain and the cryptocurrency industry. On November 1, the bank announced the successful testing of tokenized deposits in collaboration with Ant Group, a major Chinese financial services provider.
This move demonstrates HSBC’s commitment to staying at the forefront of financial innovation and technology within the global banking landscape.
A staggering sum of nearly $600,000 in Bitcoin has been swindled from unsuspecting users who fell prey to a fraudulent Ledger Live application masquerading on Microsoft’s app store.
The revelation comes from the vigilant cryptocurrency investigator, ZachXBT.
On November 5th, ZachXBT unearthed the ruse named “Ledger Live Web3,” designed to deceive users into believing they were downloading the legitimate “Ledger Live” interface, primarily used for managing Ledger hardware wallets, where cryptocurrencies are securely stored offline.
The scam artist has managed to amass approximately 16.8 BTC, equivalent to $588,000, via 38 transactions using the wallet address “bc1q….y64q,” as reported by Blockchain.com.
Two transactions have seen about $115,200 exit the fraudster’s wallet, leaving a balance of $473,800 or 13.5 BTC.
In a subsequent update, ZachXBT hinted that Microsoft might have taken action by removing the counterfeit Ledger Live app from its platform.
The illicit activities involving this wallet began on October 24th, with an initial transfer of $5,210 to the scammer’s address. Before that, the wallet remained dormant.
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Notably, most of the transactions transpired after November 2nd, with the largest sum of $81,200 vanishing from victims’ wallets on November 4th.
A scrutiny by Cointelegraph unveiled that the deceptive “Ledger Live Web3” application had infiltrated Microsoft’s app store as early as October 19th.
The severity of this situation prompted victims to reach out to ZachXBT, with one victim even suggesting that Microsoft should bear responsibility for allowing the fraudulent Ledger Live app onto their platform.
This incident isn’t the first instance where a counterfeit Ledger Live app has infiltrated Microsoft’s app store.
In the past, Ledger’s support account on social media, X (formerly Twitter), had alerted users to similar scams, occurring twice in December and March.
Although Ledger has not issued a statement regarding this particular scam, they have consistently urged users to obtain Ledger Live exclusively from their official website, ledger.com.
Cointelegraph attempted to contact Microsoft for a response but has yet to receive a reply, raising concerns about the security and oversight of applications within their app store.
Lawyers representing the individual responsible for the $116 million Mango Markets exploitation have successfully obtained a delay in his fraud trial, pushing the start date to April 8, 2023.
Originally scheduled for December 4, Avraham Eisenberg’s fraud trial faced delays due to various factors, as explained by his legal team.
They presented a motion for a continuance to district court Judge Arun Subramanian on November 2, which was granted.
In a court filing on November 3, Judge Subramanian confirmed the trial’s rescheduled commencement date.
Despite opposition from United States prosecutors, who contested the motion for continuance, the judge ruled in favor of the defense.
Subramanian additionally instructed both the U.S. prosecutors and Eisenberg’s legal team to submit an updated schedule for pretrial motions and submissions by November 7.
Eisenberg, who admitted involvement in the Mango Markets exploit, pleaded not guilty to three criminal counts related to commodities fraud, commodity manipulation, and wire fraud in June.
Eisenberg’s lawyers cited the need for more time to review extensive discovery materials provided by U.S. prosecutors as a primary reason for the delay.
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They mentioned that the government had been continuously sharing voluminous discovery materials, requiring ongoing analysis and discussions with their client.
Complicating matters further, Eisenberg’s sudden transfer to the Metropolitan Detention Center (MDC) in Brooklyn on October 26 disrupted their preparations.
Due to the move, Eisenberg was unable to take the annotated discovery materials and other relevant legal documents with him.
The attorneys expressed concerns about the hindrance to their access to Eisenberg caused by his relocation to the MDC.
This prison is notable for being where former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried returned after being convicted on seven fraud-related charges on November 2.
In addition to his upcoming fraud trial, Eisenberg faces charges filed by the Securities and Exchange Commission on January 20, accusing him of manipulating the Mango Markets governance token, MNGO.
The allegations involve Eisenberg taking out substantial loans against inflated collateral, depleting Mango’s treasury of approximately $116 million. His arrest in Puerto Rico on December 27 preceded these charges.
Eisenberg publicly confessed to the exploit on October 15, 2022, asserting that his actions were legally sound.
Initially, he returned $67 million to Mango Markets’ decentralized autonomous organization as part of a bounty deal. However, the Mango Markets team subsequently filed a lawsuit against Eisenberg, seeking $47 million in damages, plus interest.