Bitcoin could be on the verge of a bullish run in the coming weeks and beyond, thanks to shifting macroeconomic dynamics.
Popular trader Crypto Ed, the founder of CryptoTA trading group, recently noted a potential decline in the strength of the United States dollar (USD), which historically has had an inverse relationship with Bitcoin.
Recent changes in U.S. macroeconomic policy are expected to bolster Bitcoin’s prospects while exerting downward pressure on the USD.
Analysts have been optimistic about the cryptocurrency market’s performance in 2024, citing a combination of favorable macroeconomic data and encouraging signals from the Federal Reserve.
The decline in inflation is seen as a factor that could allow the Federal Reserve to reconsider its stance on interest rate hikes, leading to increased liquidity in the markets, particularly benefiting risk assets like Bitcoin.
Unfortunately, the USD is not set to benefit from this shift and has experienced a significant drop this week due to the impact of monetary tightening on inflation.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen over 2% since the beginning of the week, currently hovering below $102, marking its lowest level since mid-August.
Crypto Ed shared his optimism for Bitcoin’s long-term outlook, anticipating that a weakening DXY could propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs, possibly reaching $92 for DXY.
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In a chart analysis, key levels to watch on the DXY in three-day timeframes were highlighted.
Economist Lyn Alden offered her perspective on the liquidity situation, noting that while global liquidity indicators had experienced some stagnation, a recent dovish stance by the Federal Reserve and the drop in the DXY might provide a boost to liquidity.
Alden also highlighted a market repricing scenario, with markets starting to factor in the possibility of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in 2024.
Data from the Federal Reserve itself revealed an increase in its balance sheet for the first time since August, rising by approximately $2 billion in December.
As of December 15th, BTC/USD was trading at $42,700, showing relative stability after a brief period of volatility the previous day.
Bitcoin had posted a 13% gain for December, according to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.
With a weakening dollar and changing macroeconomic factors, Bitcoin enthusiasts are hopeful for new all-time highs in the near future.
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