Bitcoin’s price experienced a 5% dip within the last 24 hours, settling at $41,645 on December 11.
However, despite this sudden correction, technical indicators and on-chain data suggest that Bitcoin remains robust, as bulls actively work to push the price back above the $44,000 mark.
On-chain data indicates that Bitcoin’s price had become “over-extended.” It plummeted by as much as 7.2%, reaching $40,300 on Coinbase, which led to discussions among analysts.
Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, an on-chain analytics firm, pointed out that Bitcoin’s price had become “overheated” following its recent surge above the psychologically significant $40,000 level.
Further data from the on-chain data analysis firm Lookintobitcoin revealed signs of exhaustion among bullish investors.
According to their December 2023 report, Bitcoin’s price had reached its near-term target as per the golden ratio multiplier, a metric based on the Crosby Ratio.
This highlighted that Bitcoin’s near-term price had become “over-extended,” necessitating a correction or at least a slowdown.
In essence, Bitcoin had entered overbought conditions above $40,000, with its relative strength index (RSI) indicating overbought status since December 5.
This early warning signaled a potential reduction in buying pressure as traders began to perceive the rally’s loss of momentum and took profits.
The primary challenge for Bitcoin’s price remains the formidable resistance at the $44,000 supply zone.
The Lookintobitcoin golden ratio multiplier indicator indicated that the 1.6 multiplier target had been reached around this area. Bitcoin has struggled to convincingly breach this level over the past week, facing significant rejection.
The intensity of the resistance at $44,000 is underscored by on-chain data from IntoTheBlock’s “in/out of the money around price” (IOMAP) model.
This data indicates that the $43,346–$44,627 price range is where approximately 585.77 BTC was previously acquired by approximately 1.43 million addresses.
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Any attempts to surpass this level would likely encounter aggressive selling from this group of sellers.
Nonetheless, this ongoing correction may be viewed as a bear trap within an overall bullish trend that has developed over recent months.
Data from crypto market intelligence firm Santiment indicates that Bitcoin’s exchange outflows are on the rise, with the BTC exchange flow balance now at -347.
This negative reading implies that outflows are surpassing inflows, a sign that investors are more inclined to hold than sell, which is generally considered bullish.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has remained above all major moving averages, and these indicators have continued their upward trajectories, providing strong support levels.
The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator also remains in positive territory, with the MACD line positioned above the signal line, favoring further upward movement in Bitcoin’s price.
Therefore, it is likely that Bitcoin’s price will continue to rise from its current levels, with buyers targeting a breakout above $44,000.
A successful break beyond this level could propel Bitcoin toward the psychological milestone of $50,000, either in early 2024 when the United States Securities and Exchange Commission is expected to decide on spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund applications or during the next Bitcoin halving event.
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