The ongoing saga of an investor exodus from Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) has sent shockwaves through the cryptocurrency market, dragging Bitcoin’s price down to below $39,000 for the first time in nearly two months.
Since its transformation into a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) on January 11, GBTC has experienced massive outflows, totaling more than $3.4 billion.
In response to this, Grayscale has been depositing vast amounts of Bitcoin onto the crypto exchange Coinbase Prime, presumably for sale.
The situation has raised concerns about the extent of the GBTC exodus and its potential consequences.
According to Eric Balchunas, an ETF analyst at Bloomberg, GBTC saw outflows of $515 million on January 23, resulting in a loss of 13% of its outstanding shares.
However, there are indications that the pace of outflows may be slowing down.
In an informal poll conducted on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Balchunas sought the opinion of the community on when the “mass exodus” from GBTC might end.
Nearly half of the respondents believed it could continue until shares outstanding had diminished by 35–50%, while Balchunas and fellow Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart estimated this might occur at around 25% of outstanding shares.
Currently, Grayscale’s website shows 600.5 million shares outstanding, holding a total of 536,694.9 Bitcoins in trust.
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In contrast, data from CC15Capital indicates that 82,525 Bitcoins have departed from GBTC since January 10.
The recent wave of outflows is primarily attributed to the defunct cryptocurrency exchange FTX, which reportedly sold two-thirds of its 22.3 million GBTC shares in just three days of trading.
FTX still holds approximately eight million shares, valued at around $281 million, awaiting sale.
Additionally, there is growing concern that Bitcoin from Mt. Gox may soon enter the market.
The Mt. Gox trustee has reportedly contacted creditors to complete identity verification for crypto exchange accounts, which are intended to be used for repaying Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash. This potential influx of assets could add further downward pressure to Bitcoin’s price.
As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $39,949, showing a slight increase of 0.60% for the day, according to data from CoinMarketCap.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index hit a 100-day low of 48 on January 24, reflecting the uncertainty and apprehension surrounding the cryptocurrency market.
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